Home Sales Rise

In spite of a rough economny and continued unemployment woes, home sales rose in 2009. According to the National Association of Realtors®, there were approximately 5,156,000 existing-home sales in 2009, which was 4.9 percent higher than the 4,913,000 transactions recorded in 2008. It was the first annual sales gain since 2005.
Total housing inventory at the end of December fell 6.6 percent to 3.29 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.2-month supply at the current sales pace. That is an increase from a 6.5-month supply in November. The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $178,300 in December, which is 1.5 percent higher than December 2008.

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Cooling Housing Market

Across the country the market seems to weakening. Some areas are reporting inventory up to five times the year-earlier level. This is forcing sellers across the nation to slash prices. In most area it is a return to normalcy but in some areas like Orlando and Phoenix, things are expected to get worse before the get better. Ivy Zelman, a housing analyst, has referred to Phoenix as "total bloodbath." Orlando has reported the biggest surge in inventory and home prices are down between 3-7 percent from just a year ago. Some homebuilders are offering buyer agent commissions up to 10 percent. William Wheaton, a housing economist at MIT, thinks we could be in for five to ten years of flat home prices.

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Selling Your Home on Your Own

Sell quickly and save

When selling on your own you should be realistic with your expectations – know your local housing market. Once you have a feel for how homes around you are selling you can develop a selling plan. Over the past year most metro areas have seen an increase in days on market, so as a for sale by owner you need to set goals and timelines. Current market conditions will determine an asking price as well, so you may decide to start at a certain price and keep it there for 15 days, if it does not sell offer a bonus – versus lowering the price – for 15 days, etc.

Flat fee MLS companies and other limited service providers offering services on an a la carte basis will also increase your marketing exposure. While there are no guarantees, over 80 percent of homes are sold through the local MLS. Getting listed in the Multiple Listing Service will provide you marketing exposure through literally hundreds and hundreds of public websites, that you otherwise would be missing out on.

Lastly, don’t be intimidated. Don’t be intimidated by the process, the paperwork, or agents out there that want you as their own clients. You are trying to sell your home at the best price and while retaining the most equity. Good luck!

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Home Sales Post Biggest Jump in Years

Home Sales in February Exceed Industry Forecast

After economists forecasted a drop in the annual rate, home sales experienced the biggest jump in two years indicating a surprising strength in the housing market. The 5.2 percent rise from 6.57 million in January to 6.91 million in February was the biggest jump since February of 2004 according to the National Association of Realtors. These figures are based on when a home sale closes not when a contract is accepted. So the warmest January on record, coupled with the dip in interest rates may have aided in increasing the sales figures for the month.

 

While the median and average sales prices have reduced from January to February, sales levels are much ahead of where they were just one year earlier. Last year posted a median sales price of $189,000 and an average sales price of $249,000 compared to a median sales price of $210,000 and an average sales price of $256,000 for February 2006.

 

Reports predicting the real estate market to cool off from the record pace of 2005 now seem a little premature.

See Also

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Richmond, Virginia noted as affordable housing market

Wall Street Journal says Richmond offers lower cost of living

A recent article in the Wall Street Journal’s Real Estate Journal today stated that Richmond, VA market is giving the D.C.- New York corridor a run for its money. "The area’s relatively affordable housing and lower cost of living has helped attract companies like packaging giant MeadWestvaco Corp., which recently announced plans to relocate its headquarters to the area from Connecticut, bringing an estimated 400 new jobs and giving the Virginia capital bragging rights to a seventh Fortune 500 company headquarters."

According to the article, Richmond’s third quarter median home price was $214,000, a bargain compared with Washington, D.C. where median home price was $441,400 for the third quarter of 2005.

See Also

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2006 New Homes Starts Up

January pace of housing starts tops forecasts

Incoming Federal Reserve Chairman Ted Bernanke told Congress on Wednesday that "a number of indicators point to a slowing in the housing market." And, "given the substantial gains in house prices and the high levels of home construction activity over the past several years, prices and construction could decelerate more rapidly than currently seems likely."

Most forecasters expect the housing market will avoid a catastrophic crash. Ed Leamer, director of the UCLA business forecast, said  "It’s going to be a buyer’s market not a seller’s market — possibly  for a long period of time,"

Despite Bernanke’s and Leamer’s remarks and widespread prognostications of a housing market slowdown, January saw the highest level of housing starts in over 32 years. The Census Bureau’s newest report showed that new homes construction is at an annual pace of 2.28 million homes.

See Also

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Housing Market Slowdown

White House expects home price increases to cool

The White House Council of Economic Advisers wrote in its annual Economic Report of the President, which was sent to Congress yesterday that, "Prospects remain good for continued growth in the years ahead." While the overall economy is expected to continued growth, the CEA’s assessment of the housing market was somewhat more subdued. According to CEA member, Matthew Slaughter, the rate of home price appreciation is "likely to slow in the future."

After 5 years of 9.2 percent annual growth rate, due to low interest rates, strenghtening job market, and rising income, the next 5 years is likely to see a downward trend in part due to rising interest rates, the report said. A dramatic housing bubble burst is not expected because "the elevated level of house prices will sustain homebuilding as a profitable enterprise for some time."

See Also

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Overvalued Housing Markets

65 of top 299 real estate markets severely overpriced.

According to a study by National City Corp, a financial holding company in conjunction with Global InSight, a financial information provider entitled Housing Market Analysis for the 3rd quarter of 2005, the 65 metro areas that are 30% or more overvalued account for 38% of the U.S. housing market. The report stated, "These areas face a high risk of future price correction."

Naples, Florida is the most overvalued of all housing markets. In Naples a single-family media priced home sells for $329,970 or 84% more than it should cost according to the report. Other most overvalued areas include Medford, OR, Miami, FL, Barnstable, MA, Santa Anna, CA, Providence, RI/MA, and Grand Junction, CO.

And, In contrast, the best values to be found are in College Station, Texas where homes are undervalued by 23%. According to the report, areas where good buys can still be found include Alburqurque, NM, Spartansburg, SC, Sioux Falls, SD, Evansville, IN/KY, Oklahoma City, OK, Macon, GA, and Fort Smith, AR/OK.

See Also

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Housing Bubble Beginning to Pop?

Prices Dropping as Inventory Grows

Many areas around the country are seeing home prices come down from record highs as inventory continues to expand. Many forecasters are beginning to worry that a depressed housing market, rising fuel costs, and other factors could mean a bumpy ride ahead for the US economy.

But is the housing industry really headed for a collapse?  Like all things real estate it is local in nature.  Some markets have seen dramatic price increases that may be unsustainable, while others have seen only modest growth. 

The impact of a significant downturn will vary with individual purchasers.  Those who intended on flipping their property quickly or hold a mortgage with a high LTV ratio may see a significant hit on their investment.     

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